Lol, no I didn"t ;)…
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Not sure if this link was already posted…
Concept of “social distancing” explained…
https://www.washingtonpost.com/graphics/2020/world/corona-simulator/
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@spaceman if you can get a hold of Taurus SC and a pump can it is great for ants. Make sure to read the label before mixing it… a lot of people make the mistake of thinking more equals better but DO NOT I REPEAT DO NOT MIX concentrate stronger than what is recommended by the label… I also use Advion Ant Bait which is a gel… also with that a little goes a long way… I own a pest management in Texas so I know a little bit… Best of luck to you sir
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The thing to be aware of is the pink area. These are recovered (and now resistant) people in the population. Eventually we need the pink area to look like the end of the first two graphs, otherwise the virus remains a threat and will easily bounce back when containment controls are removed. The only way to make the second two strategies work is to keep them strictly in force until an effective vaccine is developed and widely available - which is 12-18 months at the earliest (if at all).
Also, if you read this https://www.imperial.ac.uk/media/imperial-college/medicine/sph/ide/gida-fellowships/Imperial-College-COVID19-NPI-modelling-16-03-2020.pdf you will see that even in the best case scenarios in the UK and USA, the health systems will be overwhelmed and not everyone who can be saved will be.
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Thank you, notes taken.
Best to you and yours.
Folks here have the right stuff.
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Has anyone thought that maybe this Virus just has not started to hit younger persons, and maybe they are just younger,stronger and have have better immune systems then a few months or even yrs later this virus hit them as they age like HIV does?
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Yeah STIGGY, no one has a clue what long term complications may arise from this.
We’re just gonna have to wait on what’s in store for us.
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Here is a chart from the document I posted above. Note the red line, which is critical care capacity. The rest of the colours are number of cases requiring critical care plotted over time, with various simulated controls.
Also, take note that the time-line doesn’t even begin until the 20th of March. So look at May, June and July to see just how bad this thing is going to get, regardless of controls.
We are in for a hell of a life-changing ride here, folks. No doubt about it.
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Well, at least it will be warm.
Of course that means open windows.
Supposedly the Spanish flu of last century vanished over the summer and came back in force that fall.
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Some quick math:
Population of UK = ~68,000,000
Best case scenario from chart above (blue, peak) = ~80 people per 100,000 in need of critical care will not receive it (will likely die as a result).
(68,000,000 / 100,000) x 80 = 54,400
So, in the best case scenario you have a peak period where 54,400 people in the UK will need critical care and will not receive it, however, that only accounts for the peak - it does not account for all the people this virus will kill before and after the peak.
When these various scenarios are played out in reality in every country on earth, the skeptics will stand back in awe.
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Open air environments are an excellent way to fight these diseases!
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Latest via Zerohedge (3/17):
- Fed reportedly plans to throw vital lifeline to Commercial Paper market
- US death toll hits 100
- Confirmed coronavirus cases in the US pass 5k
- EU leaders close borders to non-EU citizens
- Merkel says ‘joint debt options’ discussed by EU leaders
- NJ Gov says “Shelter In Place” order “certainly an option”
- WH planning $850 billion economic rescue package
- 2nd rescue package still stalled over Senates’ ‘minor’ changes
- Cuomo reports 432 new cases, bringing state total over 1,000 and retaking No. 1 spot
- Fla. Gov. Ron DeSantis closes all bars and nightclubs
- Trump doubles down on “Chinese virus” phrasing after Beijing complains
- Several students at Vanderbilt University have tested positive
- Kentucky Derby postponed until September
- UK announces £330 billion rescue package, strengthens police powers
- Goldman says “world is in a recession”
- Luxembourg declares ‘state of emergency’
- Army will provide 5 million respirator masks & other equipment to states
- Mick Mulvaney self-isolating in SC after niece had contact with Brazilian official
- EU eases rules, allows some state aid to companies
- Gov Pritzker confirms 1st death in Illinois, confirmed cases hit 22
- Italy extends short-selling ban for 90 days
- France says deficit will blow out to 3.9%
- Lindsey Graham opposes “$1,000 per person” plan
- Esper says 2 Navy hospitals can help with response, but building ad hoc hospitals ‘probably best left up to the states’
- NYC Mayor says “absolutely considering” shelter-in-place order
- Kevin Durant one of 4 Nets players to test positive: Other might be Kyrie Irving
- De Blasio says ‘no clusters in New York’
- Amazon stops shipments of “non-essential” goods to warehouses
- Moscow denies reports of citywide quarantine
- Turkey jails 19 over ‘provocative’ social media posts
- Spain turns away 500 cars after setting up border checkpoints
- Pakistan reports first death
- S&P warns “sudden economic stop” will trigger deep recession
- Tom Hanks, Rita Wilson leave quarantine
- Poland says minister has caught the virus
- 8 US banks access discount window
- Trump slams Michigan’s Democratic Gov.
Confirmed: 197,167 Deceased: 7,905
Trump slams Michigan’s Democratic Gov.
Why? What is happening in MI?
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WTF? They just got the virus a few days ago.
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“The Democratic governor chided Trump to “step up” the coronavirus response, prohibit non-essential travel and declare a national disaster to free up more federal funding. She called the White House’s response to the issue “mind-boggling.””
Whitmer’s first attack on the good people of Michigan was to try and slap a 43¢/gal gas tax for road repair. Democratic bills like hers never get earmarked for what they’re intended though so she got a lot of pushback.
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So the cdc numbers stated Corona Virus :
Globally, 179,112 confirmed (11526)
7,426 deaths (475)
But the normal flu :
CDC estimates that the burden of illness during the 2018–2019 season included an estimated 35.5 million people getting sick with influenza, 16.5 million people going to a health care provider for their illness, 490,600 hospitalizations, and 34,200 deaths from influenza
And nothing said about the flu? The press never says anything about it, let alone fear monger to this point.
114 cases of COVID-19 were recorded in Russia and five people were cured.
Total number of positive cases in India: 142 as on March 17 Total deaths in India: 3.
A total population of India is over 1.339 billion. Russia is over 144.5 million… With a total of 256 cases for BOTH countries?
Shit does not add up, if this is supposed to be such a crazy virus…A simple flu, does waaay more damage than Corona, anyway you look at it. So why no stink about the normal flu, and all of a sudden shut down ALL of N.America? The bloody press is responsible for fear mongering big time.
K.
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Do the math if 80-90% of the world population gets covid-19 bud.
Thats 448,000,000 people dead
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Why are you trying to compare what the flu has done in the past to what COVID has not yet done? That’s what doesn’t add up.
Mortality and infection rates are the whole reason to take this more seriously than the flu. If 1000 people got infected with the flu, statistically 1-2 would die. If 1000 people get infected with COVID-19, statistically about 35 will die, possibly more because way more people will overload the hospital system at high infection rates and many people will not receive treatment.
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